Put Your Game Face On

Put Your Game Face On

“Personally, I felt that this one actually had a good chance to work,” he said. How good a chance? “I gave it a 30-percent shot.”

In a sense, he was being optimistic. Replication projects have had a way of turning into train wrecks. When researchers tried to replicate 100 psychology experiments from 2008, they interpreted just 39 of the attempts as successful.

That’s the crux of the replication crisis. No one knows precisely how to calibrate their level of disquiet.

via Noah Friedman 

Originally shared by Susan Jahn
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/cover_story/2016/08/can_smiling_make_you_happier_maybe_maybe_not_we_have_no_idea.html

Comments

  1. Science is not fact ? Oh, the humanity ! :)))

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  2. Timothy Street​ My conclusion is more along the lines that social sciences aren't. Not yet, anyway.

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  3. Timothy Street​ yep, I think that article is right. But when someone in the field says "you can't expect ever to be able to reproduce an experiment in the first place and when you can't replicate the ones I did I get no useful information from that fact", I don't think the spirit of that LA Times opinion is being followed.

    Irreproducibility is important to science for flushing out dependent variables and avoiding overconfidence, but claiming that that doesn't get you anywhere because the experiment is inherently impossible to reproduce over time is to make an essentially unfalsifiable claim.

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